[ExI] Machine Intelligence Survey
Anders Sandberg
anders at aleph.se
Fri Apr 22 09:38:13 UTC 2011
Here are the results (long delayed) of the survey on AGI we did at the
Winter Intelligence workshop:
http://www.fhi.ox.ac.uk/__data/assets/pdf_file/0015/21516/MI_survey.pdf
Validity questionable, but the results are consistent with earlier
surveys - the kind of people who respond to this tend to think
mid-century human-level AI is fairly plausible, with a tail towards the
far future. Opinions on the overall effect were not divided but bimodal
- it will likely be really good or really bad, not something in between.
--
Anders Sandberg,
Future of Humanity Institute
James Martin 21st Century School
Philosophy Faculty
Oxford University
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