[ExI] Machine Intelligence Survey

[Samantha Atkins]

Barring technological capacity breakdown I believe it is quite possible before 2030.   I won't go as far as Marvin Minsky but I believe it is possible at current technology levels if only we knew how.

- s
On Apr 22, 2011, at 2:38 AM, Anders Sandberg wrote:

> Here are the results (long delayed) of the survey on AGI we did at the Winter Intelligence workshop:
> http://www.fhi.ox.ac.uk/__data/assets/pdf_file/0015/21516/MI_survey.pdf
> 
> Validity questionable, but the results are consistent with earlier surveys - the kind of people who respond to this tend to think mid-century human-level AI is fairly plausible, with a tail towards the far future. Opinions on the overall effect were not divided but bimodal - it will likely be really good or really bad, not something in between.
> 
> -- 
> Anders Sandberg,
> Future of Humanity Institute James Martin 21st Century School Philosophy Faculty Oxford University 
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