[ExI] How many transhumanist
gsantostasi at gmail.com
Sun Feb 19 20:44:06 UTC 2012
Don't follow this because most transhumanist are bound to be in the
subgroup of the half a billion. The other people non using wiki are very
likely in underveloped nations where you would not find many transhumanists.
On Sun, Feb 19, 2012 at 2:36 PM, Keith Henson <hkeithhenson at gmail.com>wrote:
> On Sun, Feb 19, 2012 at 5:00 AM, Anders Sandberg <anders at aleph.se> wrote:
> > Anybody
> > who has an estimate of how many people are mentioned in Wikipedia in
> > total? Scaling up 73 by the ratio 7 billion / #people in Wikipedia might
> > give a lower bound (since many people in Wikipedia are historical).
> http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Category:Living_people reports 557,616
> Wikipedia (EN) probably draws living people from fewer than half a
> billion people.
> so 73/557,616 * 0.5 B is ~ 65,000.
> L5 Society defeated the moon treaty with fewer than 10,000 people, but
> normally 65,000 people isn't enough to do serious lobbying in the US
> and the US share wouldn't be higher than 40k. This is a very
> uncertain number, just exploring Anders question.
> > I was attending a meeting about emerging technology and global security
> > in Washington DC last week. I think that among the intelligence analysts
> > and technologists present at least a third were "transhumanists" in some
> > sense. At the very least they were quite open to radical new
> > technologies, although often more concerned with how to avoid bad guys
> > getting them.
> > Transhumanism is creeping into the mainstream to the extent that we
> > card-carrying transhumanists might want to consider what role - if any -
> > we should play. An old-timer I met recently complained that he wasn't
> > seeing much *new* ideas on our fora - maybe it is time for us to shape
> > up and go to the next level? Or revel in our mainstreaminess and get
> > lucrative jobs as lobbyists?
> As you have seen recently, there isn't much interest in exploring the
> consequences of speeding up on our old concept of M-brains.
> Or advanced proposals for solving the much more mundane (but
> important) energy/carbon problems.
> Or low cost space transport based on high exhaust velocities.
> > --
> > Anders Sandberg,
> > Future of Humanity Institute
> > Philosophy Faculty of Oxford University
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