[ExI] Whatever happened to peak oil by 2020?

[Adrian Tymes]

On Wed, May 8, 2013 at 8:02 AM, Eugen Leitl <eugen at leitl.org> wrote:

> On Wed, May 08, 2013 at 07:48:40AM -0700, Adrian Tymes wrote:
> > On Wed, May 8, 2013 at 5:07 AM, Eugen Leitl <eugen at leitl.org> wrote:
> > > One does not simply synthesize gasoline</boromir> Particularly,
> > > if you want to fill a large gap almost overnight.
> > >
> > > Look into costs and time and material and energy input
> > > for a plant, then multiply by the number required.
> > >
> >
> > Would you happen to have a convenient source for said costs
> > and time?  A quick search didn't find any, but I may have used
> > the wrong terms.
>
> It can be tricky to find. Here's an article with a few
> numbers:
>
>
> http://www.nytimes.com/2012/12/18/business/energy-environment/sasol-betting-big-on-gas-to-liquid-plant-in-us.html?pagewanted=all&_r=0
>

Not quite the numbers I was looking for - but it does suggest the
technology is not well developed enough yet that the numbers
are understood.  Thanks.
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