[ExI] kepler study says 8.8e9 earthlike planets

Eugen Leitl eugen at leitl.org
Wed Nov 6 14:30:17 UTC 2013


On Tue, Nov 05, 2013 at 05:51:21PM +0000, BillK wrote:
> On Tue, Nov 5, 2013 at 5:37 PM, Anders Sandberg  wrote:
> <big snip>
> > So the rational thing is to expect *lots* of biospheres. Which is of course
> > not good news, since that makes a future Great Filter more likely.

There is absolutely no data to postulate a future filter. You
being able to read this message is not a source of data for
statistical reasoning (lottery winners don't have a good
grasp of overall winning probability).

As long as we don't have causally unentangled data about
higher life nevermind life capable of intelligent observer
status nobody has a case.

> >
> >
> 
> Not necessarily bad news, though. If the Great Filter is Heaven on
> Earth, who are we to complain?

Heavens need giant entropy sinks, and glow brighter than
Satan's asshole.
 
> The Filter just stops species thrashing around in the physical
> universe. Good idea if it is because they all find something much,
> much better to do.  :)



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