[ExI] BICEP2 and the Fermi paradox

[Anders Sandberg]

Tomaz Kristan <protokol2020 at gmail.com> , 12/4/2014 11:40 PM:
Anders Sanberg:

> Ok, how do you reach the conclusion that is a bit more possible?

Must be a probability distribution.

First, they (probabilities) can't be equally likely.
 
Most distributions are falling.
Positive distributions have a nonzero expectation.
The mean and median tends to be larger than zero.
Power laws are generic stable distributions, exponentials are not. 

Anders Sandberg, Future of Humanity Institute Philosophy Faculty of Oxford University
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