[ExI] Tambora

Tomasz Rola rtomek at ceti.pl
Sat Sep 6 16:04:05 UTC 2014


On Sat, Sep 06, 2014 at 02:59:36PM +0100, BillK wrote:
> On Fri, Sep 5, 2014 at 11:06 PM, Keith Henson  wrote:
> > I want to recommend a book.
> > Tambora: The Eruption That Changed the World
> > by Gillen D'Arcy Wood
> <snip>
> > It is worth reading an thinking about what a global weather upset will
> > do to the current world.  Actually, you can make a case that the
> > current mess in the mid east is due to a drought in Syria and other
> > places which has driven up to cost of food.
> >
> >
> 
> So far as I can see that 3 year climate upset didn't cause any wars.
> Famines, food riots and looting did occur as starving people struggled
> to survive. But civilisation didn't break down and nations didn't
> invade their neighbours.

Unless we look at current invasion of Ukraine by "green people" from
this angle. Ukraine is significant food producer. Russia imports
significant part of its food consumption (yes, really - although I
haven't looked for more data about what exactly). Dots linked?
Perhaps.

> Humans killing each other is a pretty constant occurrence. Even if
> some claim that there is less killing nowadays, I think it depends on
> how and what you count (and who does the counting).

Nowadays, I would say, killing is forced to become less individual
endeavour and more in line with big businesses of big entities, like
governments.

If ww3 breaks out with full hell ahead, I expect about 0.5-1 billion
deaths in say, first week. That way statistics will get improved and
progress will be more visible.

The people as such didn't changed much. The beasts are kept fed,
entertained and busied with various things. That's it.

> I think the sea level rise will be the main disruptor in future years.
> People will be forced to move and invade their neighbours as their
> cities go underwater.

Don't despair. Perhaps cities will be deserted by this time or people
become so much indifferent they won't notice fish in their beds. Try
to be an optimist like me.

-- 
Regards,
Tomasz Rola

--
** A C programmer asked whether computer had Buddha's nature.      **
** As the answer, master did "rm -rif" on the programmer's home    **
** directory. And then the C programmer became enlightened...      **
**                                                                 **
** Tomasz Rola          mailto:tomasz_rola at bigfoot.com             **



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