[ExI] The Bomb verses a Email server

Anders anders at aleph.se
Fri Sep 16 02:22:28 UTC 2016


On 2016-09-15 22:09, John Clark wrote:
> On Wed, Sep 14, 2016 at 7:38 PM, Anders <anders at aleph.se 
> <mailto:anders at aleph.se>>wrote:
>
>     ​> ​
>     this all assumes rational and error-free players.
>
>
> ​And that is just about as far from a real life situation as it is 
> possible to get.

Nah. 70 years of no nuclear war gives apparent evidence that things are 
not too bad. Correcting for anthropic bias and including the numerous 
near misses still seems to lead to the conclusion that the system is not 
super-bad. On the other hand, it does suggest that a less conscientious 
or sane country very quickly could mess things up.


-- 
Dr Anders Sandberg
Future of Humanity Institute
Oxford Martin School
Oxford University

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