[ExI] COVID-19 has now killed more Americans than Chinese

[Dylan Distasio]

+1.  I'll have to check out the 538 piece.  I'm shocked they're still
putting out anything of value these days.

On Wed, Apr 1, 2020 at 1:06 PM Darin Sunley via extropy-chat <
extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote:

> This is true. Every piece of data we are given in the media is pure
> garbage, and the academic numbers, even fully qualified, aren't much better,
>
> Fivethirtyeight ran an [uncharacteristically for them, these days]
> excellent piece on the difficulties in creating a data model for COVID that
> isn't a pure, panic-mongering, stab in the dark.
>
>
> https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-its-so-freaking-hard-to-make-a-good-covid-19-model/
>
>
> Fortunately, there's a lot of media organizations form whom
> panic-mongering is their bread and butter, so we have no shortage of models
> to work with, all of which are terrible.
>
> The correct response to complete ignorance is a the null hypothesis, not
> the worst-case scenario. But worst-case scenarios get WAY more clicks.. So
> here we are.
>
>
>
> On Wed, Apr 1, 2020 at 10:01 AM John Clark via extropy-chat <
> extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote:
>
>> On Wed, Apr 1, 2020 at 10:06 AM spike jones via extropy-chat <
>> extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote:
>>
>>
>>
>>> *> that chart didn’t show why because it wasn’t in per-capita infection
>>> rates.*
>>>
>>
>> Speaking of per-capita, we don't know the true number of people in the
>> USA that are infected because the USA has done far fewer testing per-capita
>> than any other modern industrial nation and started doing them far later,
>> even later and fewer than some third world nations. As a result we're
>> flying blind, all we have is a lower bound.
>>
>>  John K Clark
>> _______________________________________________
>> extropy-chat mailing list
>> extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org
>> http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat
>>
> _______________________________________________
> extropy-chat mailing list
> extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org
> http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat
>
-------------- next part --------------
An HTML attachment was scrubbed...
URL: <http://lists.extropy.org/pipermail/extropy-chat/attachments/20200401/d1720962/attachment.htm>