[ExI] More Americans died of COVID-19 than died in battle in Korea

robot at ultimax.com robot at ultimax.com
Sat Apr 18 14:51:32 UTC 2020

37K, per Johns Hopkins -- we're past Korea now.

"Next stop: Vietnam!" (per Country Joe McDonald live @ Woodstock)

That is, at the current rate of accumulation of fatalities (~5K/day), we 
should hit that sad milestone, 58K, by early-middle next week.

Next to come would be total American military deaths in WWI (combat + 
disease), 118K, which is just about double the butcher's bill for 
Vietnam.  Again, at current rates of dying, we should expect to see that 
milestone hit by the 1st of May.

Whether or not we do hit that will indicate whether those projections 
we're hearing from the White House ("plateau at 60K") are worth anything 
or not.  Absent continued intervention, positive-feedback processes tend 
to run to completion, so it's difficult for me to believe that this one 
we're in is going to come to a sudden screeching halt in just a week.

Wait and see, or, wait and not see...


PS. This listserver's subject line management needs tightening up.  This 
discourse in this thread hasn't been about the ostensible subject line 
for a long time now, hundreds of posts.

PPS. I've been studying pandemics and history for a long time.
See: http://www.ultimax.com/whitepapers/deadmediarev.html .
For decades, I've been citing
Hans Zinsser's /Rats Lice and History/ (1935 & 1960),
William McNeill's /Plagues and Peoples/ (1976) (he was required reading 
in National Security Studies), and
Jared Diamond's /Guns Germs and Steel/ (1997).
You should read them too if you want to understand what really shapes 
human history.
Just started a book recommended by a hacker friend: /The Fate of Rome/ 
by Kyle Harper, 2017, Princeton University Press.  Good interview here 
on Utah public radio: "Plagues And The Fate Of Rome" 
https://radiowest.kuer.org/post/plagues-and-fate-rome .

On 2020-04-18 09:20, extropy-chat-request at lists.extropy.org wrote:
> Message: 12
> Date: Sat, 18 Apr 2020 05:04:37 -0400
> From: John Clark <johnkclark at gmail.com>
> To: rafal at smigrodzki.org, ExI chat list
> 	<extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org>
> Subject: Re: [ExI] More Americans died of COVID-19 than died in battle
> 	in Korea
>   On Fri, Apr 17, 2020 at 8:29 PM Rafal Smigrodzki via extropy-chat <
>   extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote:
>   *> Universal quarantine should have never started*
> Any particular reason why? We know from centuries of experience with
> diseases that quarantines work.

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