[ExI] So much for it being no worse than the ordinary flu

[Will Steinberg]

Bit scary but the integral is still far lower than those 2 and the
difference is those 2 don't have a peak, the integral just keeps growing
forever.  The integral for covid flattens off soon.

Also since deaths follow cases this was obvious and would have been news
about a week or two ago when cases peaked.  Meaning: we almost definitively
know the future for this graph (as long as CFR doesn't change) and it will
be below those rates again if it is proportional to cases (it is.)

So the real story is: weekly deaths from covid BRIEFLY OUTSTRIPPED those
others.  Still scary but much less fearmongering (and more true) than what
you said.


On Fri, Apr 24, 2020, 07:53 John Clark via extropy-chat <
extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote:

>
> Forget Cancer, forget Heart Disease, forget the flu, forget car crashes;
> Covid-19 is now the leading cause of death for Americans. Take a look at
> this very interesting graph:
>
> Graph of deaths per million versus time
> <https://www.google.com/imgres?imgurl=https%3A%2F%2Fimageproxy.themaven.net%2Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fimages.saymedia-content.com%252F.image%252FMTcyMDIyNzk2NzkxMDYzNjg3%252Fcovid-19-new-deaths-weekly-2020-04-21.jpg&imgrefurl=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.thestreet.com%2Fmishtalk%2Feconomics%2Fcovid-19-deaths-in-context-and-the-absurdity-of-flu-comparisons-ClxUEHkoOkWfZPNO2X9Jow&tbnid=GlP458-Jam9GUM&vet=12ahUKEwi_-L73-oDpAhUH06wKHUnfDvQQMygAegUIARDuAQ..i&docid=DqwQ5MKzONLlKM&w=1031&h=614&q=new%20deaths%20weekly&ved=2ahUKEwi_-L73-oDpAhUH06wKHUnfDvQQMygAegUIARDuAQ>
>
> John K Clark
> _______________________________________________
> extropy-chat mailing list
> extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org
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>
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