[ExI] So much for it being no worse than the ordinary flu

[John Clark]

On Fri, Apr 24, 2020 at 11:03 AM Will Steinberg via extropy-chat <
extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote:

Graph of deaths per million versus time
<https://www.google.com/imgres?imgurl=https%3A%2F%2Fimageproxy.themaven.net%2Fhttps%253A%252F%252Fimages.saymedia-content.com%252F.image%252FMTcyMDIyNzk2NzkxMDYzNjg3%252Fcovid-19-new-deaths-weekly-2020-04-21.jpg&imgrefurl=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.thestreet.com%2Fmishtalk%2Feconomics%2Fcovid-19-deaths-in-context-and-the-absurdity-of-flu-comparisons-ClxUEHkoOkWfZPNO2X9Jow&tbnid=GlP458-Jam9GUM&vet=12ahUKEwi_-L73-oDpAhUH06wKHUnfDvQQMygAegUIARDuAQ..i&docid=DqwQ5MKzONLlKM&w=1031&h=614&q=new%20deaths%20weekly&ved=2ahUKEwi_-L73-oDpAhUH06wKHUnfDvQQMygAegUIARDuAQ>

 >*since deaths follow cases this was obvious and would have been news
> about a week or two ago when cases peaked. *
>

I don't know that new cases have peaked. Yesterday April 23  31,900 more
Americans got sick from Covid-19, on April 19 only 26,183 did, you'd have
to go back to April 17 to find a larger number and even then it was only
slightly larger. The shape of this thing's curve is frightening and looks
nothing like any flu variety we've ever seen before, perhaps that is to be
expected because this is not the flu. But that makes me think confident
predictions on what it will do aren't worth much. I sure don't want to bet
my life on one.

 John K Clark
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