[ExI] The present and future of AI

[Jason Resch]

I wrote an analysis of the current capabilities of modern AI systems:
https://alwaysasking.com/when-will-ai-take-over/

I found what some systems are capable of, especially in terms of
computational creativity, and general purpose learning algorithms, to be
shocking.

For instance, DeepMind has a single AI that has learned to play every Atari
game better than any human.  GANs have been made that produce original art
pieces and can take a single photo and envision it as a talking head.
Google's Duplex can make phone calls and hold conversations so well the
person at the other end of the line doesn't realize they're talking to a
machine.

I am curious how close members on this list feel we are from achieving AGI.
Most estimates seem to put it around 2040 plus or minus 10 years. Is that
the general consensus? Could it happen much sooner? Does anyone here
believe it will happen much later than that?

Jason
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