[ExI] Fwd: The present and future of AI

[William Flynn Wallace]

I came up with the following list of human-specific traits of intelligence:

   - Communicate via natural language
   - Learn, adapt, and grow
   - Move through a dynamic environment
   - Recognize sights and sounds
   - Be creative in music, art, writing and invention
   - Reason with logic and rationality to solve problems

Jason

Every one of these traits is found all over the animal kingdom, excepting
the creativity part (and birds may make up songs),.  Language is not
spoken, literally, but whales and dolphins, for example, communicate by
mouth sounds - not all instinct.  Rats may not have formal logic, but they
can think their way out of a maze - they would amaze you with their
intelligence.   bill w

On Fri, Jun 12, 2020 at 7:04 PM Jason Resch via extropy-chat <
extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote:

>
>
> (Sorry re-sending, sen't to wrong address)
>
>
>
> On Fri, Jun 12, 2020 at 3:14 PM Robin D Hanson <rhanson at gmu.edu> wrote:
>
>> Yes of course I’m considering exp progress in stuff that has been exp,
>> and linear progress in stuff that has been linear.
>> The hard part about human AI is doing every thing WELL. You can’t really
>> pick an ability X and say “no AI can do X”.
>> Almost always, there is some system that does X, except just very BADLY.
>>
>
> I came up with the following list of human-specific traits of intelligence:
>
>
>    - Communicate via natural language
>    - Learn, adapt, and grow
>    - Move through a dynamic environment
>    - Recognize sights and sounds
>    - Be creative in music, art, writing and invention
>    - Reason with logic and rationality to solve problems
>
> Is there anything important that I've forgotten?  Because there has been
> major progress in each of these domains. It's hard to imagine that after a
> 1,000 or million-fold increase in compute they won't be vastly superior.
>
> This is where we stand today, if we put everything together in one system:
>
> "We would get an AI that could hold a conversation in any of 100 languages
> over the phone. It would beat everyone at Jeopardy, Chess, Go, Poker, as
> well any old video game. The AI would be able to recognize any object or
> face — even detect cancer better than most doctors. It would also be
> accomplished and creative, having invented things, discovered laws of
> physics, and identified new drugs. The AI could compose as well as Bach and
> paint as well as van Gogh. It would also be seen as highly original in its
> own artistic styles."
>
> ‘Let’s put all these together,’ and then it will be smart. -- Marvin
> Minsky
>
>
> Jason
>
>
>
>>
>> On Jun 12, 2020, at 3:12 PM, Jason Resch <jasonresch at gmail.com> wrote:
>>
>> On Fri, Jun 12, 2020 at 1:57 PM Robin D Hanson <rhanson at gmu.edu> wrote:
>>
>>> There have been substantial advances in the last decade. But then there
>>> have been substantial advances every decade since 1950. We are still a LONG
>>> way from broad human level abilities; it will take a LOT longer than 10-30
>>> years to get there.
>>>
>>> What do you see as the most difficult aspects of human ability we have
>> yet to achieve?
>>
>> Also, are you considering exponential progress in your 10-30 year
>> projection over the future (which could see a billion-fold increase in
>> computing power?
>>
>>
>> Robin Hanson rhanson at gmu.edu
>> Future of Humanity Inst., Oxford University
>> Assoc. Prof. Economics, George Mason University
>> See my books: http://ageofem.com http://elephantinthebrain.com
>>
>>
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>>
>>
>>
>>
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