[ExI] Worst-Case Estimates

[John Clark]

Although not released  publicly the New York Times has obtained 4 computer
projection of the virus made by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control,
depending on the measures to contain it and exactly how contagious and
deadly it is which has not been nailed down exactly. In the worst case
scenario. Between 160 million and 214 million people in the U.S. will be
infected, between 2.4 million to 21 million will require hospitalization,
and 200,000 to 2.4 million people will die of it. We don't know for certain
we will get the worst version but it would be prudent to prepare as if we
will. Currently there are only 925,000 hospital beds in the USA  and most
of them are already in use. This is a time for bold action by the
government but I don't see it.

The Worst-Case Estimate for U.S. Coronavirus Deaths
<https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/13/us/coronavirus-deaths-estimate.html?action=click&module=Spotlight&pgtype=Homepage>


John K Clark
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