[ExI] Influential Imperial College Epidemiologist catches COVID and admits his models were off by more than an order of magnitude

Dylan Distasio interzone at gmail.com
Thu Mar 26 20:41:35 UTC 2020

If you want to balance clicks with a leftie rag, here it is:


On Thu, Mar 26, 2020 at 4:36 PM Dan TheBookMan via extropy-chat <
extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote:

> Is there a source other than the Daily Wire for this? I don’t even want to
> click on anything associated with that scumbag Ben Shapiro.
> Regards,
> Dan
>    Sample my Kindle books at:
> http://author.to/DanUst
> On Mar 26, 2020, at 1:07 PM, Stuart LaForge via extropy-chat <
> extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote:
> https://www.dailywire.com/news/epidemiologist-behind-highly-cited-coronavirus-model-admits-he-was-wrong-drastically-revises-model
> "Epidemiologist Neil Ferguson, who created the highly-cited Imperial
> College London coronavirus model, which has been cited by organizations
> like The New York Times and has been instrumental in governmental policy
> decision-making, offered a massive revision to his model on Wednesday.
> Ferguson’s model projected 2.2 million dead people in the United States
> and 500,000 in the U.K. from COVID-19 if no action were taken to slow the
> virus and blunt its curve.
> However, after just one day of ordered lockdowns in the U.K., Ferguson is
> presenting drastically downgraded estimates, revealing that far more people
> likely have the virus than his team figured. Now, the epidemiologist
> predicts, hospitals will be just fine taking on COVID-19 patients and
> estimates 20,000 or far fewer people will die from the virus itself or from
> its agitation of other ailments, as reported by New Scientist Wednesday.
> Ferguson thus dropped his prediction from 500,000 dead to 20,000."
> Seriously? After the UK and USA built their emergency responses around his
> model? Certain anti-science politicians will have a field day with this.
> Stuart LaForge
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