[ExI] Influential Imperial College Epidemiologist catches COVID and admits his models were off by more than an order of magnitude
danust2012 at gmail.com
Thu Mar 26 20:34:31 UTC 2020
Is there a source other than the Daily Wire for this? I don’t even want to click on anything associated with that scumbag Ben Shapiro.
Sample my Kindle books at:
> On Mar 26, 2020, at 1:07 PM, Stuart LaForge via extropy-chat <extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote:
> "Epidemiologist Neil Ferguson, who created the highly-cited Imperial College London coronavirus model, which has been cited by organizations like The New York Times and has been instrumental in governmental policy decision-making, offered a massive revision to his model on Wednesday.
> Ferguson’s model projected 2.2 million dead people in the United States and 500,000 in the U.K. from COVID-19 if no action were taken to slow the virus and blunt its curve.
> However, after just one day of ordered lockdowns in the U.K., Ferguson is presenting drastically downgraded estimates, revealing that far more people likely have the virus than his team figured. Now, the epidemiologist predicts, hospitals will be just fine taking on COVID-19 patients and estimates 20,000 or far fewer people will die from the virus itself or from its agitation of other ailments, as reported by New Scientist Wednesday.
> Ferguson thus dropped his prediction from 500,000 dead to 20,000."
> Seriously? After the UK and USA built their emergency responses around his model? Certain anti-science politicians will have a field day with this.
> Stuart LaForge
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