[ExI] how come no one is congratulating John for his crystal ball?

[spike at rainier66.com]

-----Original Message-----
From: extropy-chat <extropy-chat-

 

>...Also it would seem that the question about whether the Sturgis
Motorcycle Rally was a super-spreader event has been settled.... K3

 

 

Robert do you have an explanation for why the infection rate of the half
million Sturgis attendees was a bit over half that of a randomly-chosen half
million Americans from that week?  We think it was a pre-selection of
healthy people that would account for that rate.  Otherwise we can't explain
why Sturgis was apparently a sub-spreader event.

 

At the same time Sturgis was teeming with out-of-towners, the South Dakota
state fair drew about 200k participants.  The infection rate traceable to
that event was similar to the Sturgis crowd.  

 

Paradoxically, the state university system, also assembling at about that
same time, suffered a higher infection rate.

 

The Sturgis rally, the state fair and the schools reopening happened in
early to mid August.  We can see the later increase in new cases that
correlate with the weather turning cooler, resulting in people going
indoors, where viruses travel best:

 



 

 

.

 

Similar high infection rates are seen in all the cold midwest states.

 

spike

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