[ExI] sturgis - washington post

[Dan TheBookMan]

On Mon, Oct 19, 2020 at 12:15 AM spike jones via extropy-chat
<extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote:
> From: William Flynn Wallace <foozler83 at gmail.com>
> Subject: sturgis - washington post
>
> https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/2020/10/17/sturgis-rally-spread/
>
> >…in case you missed it      bill
>
> It may have protected people across the Midwest too.  The catch rate was
> about half the rate expected from randomly-choses yanks for that population.
> Apparently they caught at half the rate they would have caught had they
> stayed home.  Then, they may have spread the disease at twice the rate had
> they stayed home.

Where are the counterfactual projections for that coming from?

It seems like the article is saying there's been a jump in cases in
specific states that can be linked back to the rally. Do you disagree?

> I don’t know why the epidemiologists will not write about that.

Maybe because they disagree with the counterfactual scenario you hint
at above. And maybe their disagreement is reasonable.

Regards,

Dan
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