[ExI] good news for a monday morning

[Dan TheBookMan]

On Mon, Sep 14, 2020 at 3:22 PM spike jones via extropy-chat <
extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote:

> This is the CDC data for all US deaths from all causes.
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> The most recent bar is for the week ending 29 August.  They give 10 days
> before they put the bar on there.
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> That last week of August is lowest number of deaths in any week in the
> last 3.7 years.
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> https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/excess_deaths.htm#dashboard
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> That big Sturgis rally apparently lowered it, but I wouldn’ta thought it
> would lower it this much: only one part in 700 can be explained that way.
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> European nations should have something analogous to this, ja?  What is
> happening over there?  We know of the nursing home catastrophe: perhaps
> covid slew the oldest and sickest, and now there are fewer left alive in
> those categories.  Or… normal flu deaths are down because of extra
> precautions?  Ideas?
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> spike
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Presuming there aren't any updates that overturn this, might this not be
because of reduced activities overall (things like lethal accidents that
happen at work didn't happen because people were either not working,
working less, or working from home) and because of overall lower pathogen
transmission rates (precautions for COVID-19 almost certainly lower the
transmission of most pathogens). The latter fits with your last idea.

If your idea is that COVID has already done its worst -- killed off the
vulnerable (maybe not all of them but a good chunk) -- we should see lower
rates going forward regardless of precautions, no?

Regards,

Dan
  Sample my Kindle books via:
http://www.amazon.com/Dan-Ust/e/B00J6HPX8M/
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