[ExI] Population growth & Life-Extension
Ben Zaiboc
ben at zaiboc.net
Fri Aug 27 16:24:17 UTC 2021
On 27/08/2021 17:02, Adrian Tymes wrote:
> On Fri, Aug 27, 2021 at 2:25 AM Ben Zaiboc via extropy-chat
> <extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org
> <mailto:extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org>> wrote:
>
> Graph showing effect of life-extension on population growth:
>
>
> This assumes that extreme longevity will reduce the desire to have
> children, which seems a reasonable assumption, given the usual
> real reason for having kids (to look after you in your dotage).
> Note the extreme difference between having an average of 2.5 kids
> and 2. Note also that 2 kids per couple is no longer 'replacement
> rate', as there is no death. Of course there still would be, but
> from accidents etc., not from ageing.
>
> True, the usual reason would go away - but with no death, people with
> other reasons would have a lot longer to have and raise kids.
Ok. So how much would that affect things? Would it negate the benefits
of life-extension?
I realise we don't know the answer to that, but is it a reason to say
"No, let's not bother with life-extension, it won't help"?
Ben
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