[ExI] probability

BillK pharos at gmail.com
Mon Dec 20 00:45:12 UTC 2021

On Mon, 20 Dec 2021 at 00:24, Dan TheBookMan via extropy-chat
<extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote:
> There’s the issue of when someone is told that therapy X (say, a drug or an operation) has a 10% chance of being fatal versus them being told it has a 90% of not being fatal. Both mean the same thing, but most people will assume the former is worse than the latter.
> Regards,
> Dan
> _______________________________________________

What upsets me about saying 10% chance of death is that it is very
different from saying 10% chocolate in ice cream. All the people don't
get 10% dead, 1/10th of the people get 100% dead and I don't like the
sound of that.


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