[ExI] herd immunity?

[spike at rainier66.com]

From: extropy-chat <extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org> On Behalf Of William Flynn Wallace via extropy-chat
Sent: Thursday, March 18, 2021 9:52 AM
To: ExI chat list <extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org>
Cc: William Flynn Wallace <foozler83 at gmail.com>
Subject: Re: [ExI] herd immunity?

 

Are you talking about something measurable?  What statistics have to be at what point before we can say the we have herd immunity?   bill w

 

 

 

Source = https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

 

Daily new cases on planet:

 



 



 



 

 

US and UK were two of the outfits that were hit really hard in total cases per million proles.  Note that USA is now below 20% of the peak in new cases and Jolly Olde is below 10% of its peak (way to go, limeys!  Stay after em, yanks!)  

 

If all we see are a minority of cases, and most of them are asymptomatic or mild, then that would explain why these two countries have numbers headed down while the planet’s numbers are heading back up.

 

spike

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

w

 

On Thu, Mar 18, 2021 at 11:32 AM spike jones via extropy-chat <extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org <mailto:extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> > wrote:

 

Early in the pandemic about a year ago, a British doctor was on the Beeb spoke about herd immunity.  His overall message was kinda negative: that humanity was unlikely to defeat covid by any other means than a lotta people catching and surviving, resulting in eventual herd immunity.  They ripped him a new one!  Nearly universal condemnation, and counter suggestions that proper mask wearing and social distancing would suffice, but… over time he is looking more and more right on, way back in March 2020.

 

I don’t even know who that was, but if we look at those places which were hit really hard, such as UK, USA, France, Italy, etc, those places are seeing general declines in new case rates (and were even before the vaccine became a major factor.)  In the USA for instance, the new case rate is below 20% of its early January peak.  

 

It might be wishful thinking on my part, but it appears to me that some places are seeing the impact of significant percentages of their populations having been exposed and were either non-symptomatic or covid presented as an ordinary flu.  If so, some places are already showing what looks to me like herd immunity.  Hope so.

 

spike

 

 

_______________________________________________
extropy-chat mailing list
extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org <mailto:extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> 
http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat

-------------- next part --------------
An HTML attachment was scrubbed...
URL: <http://lists.extropy.org/pipermail/extropy-chat/attachments/20210318/42553fca/attachment-0001.htm>
-------------- next part --------------
A non-text attachment was scrubbed...
Name: image007.jpg
Type: image/jpeg
Size: 36768 bytes
Desc: not available
URL: <http://lists.extropy.org/pipermail/extropy-chat/attachments/20210318/42553fca/attachment-0003.jpg>
-------------- next part --------------
A non-text attachment was scrubbed...
Name: image008.jpg
Type: image/jpeg
Size: 37701 bytes
Desc: not available
URL: <http://lists.extropy.org/pipermail/extropy-chat/attachments/20210318/42553fca/attachment-0004.jpg>
-------------- next part --------------
A non-text attachment was scrubbed...
Name: image009.jpg
Type: image/jpeg
Size: 36486 bytes
Desc: not available
URL: <http://lists.extropy.org/pipermail/extropy-chat/attachments/20210318/42553fca/attachment-0005.jpg>