[ExI] Fusion breakthrough

John Grigg possiblepaths2050 at gmail.com
Wed Dec 21 14:02:30 UTC 2022

When will peak oil end for us? 2050? And so this astounding breakthrough
happened just in the nick of time! AGI and the first fusion reactor may be
appearing right around the same period. But l will unfortunately be
shuffling off the mortal coil around then...


On Thu, Dec 15, 2022, 1:50 AM BillK via extropy-chat <
extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote:

> On Wed, 14 Dec 2022 at 17:14, spike jones via extropy-chat
> <extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote:
> >
> <snip>
> >
> > Last point: half a century ago we thought we were running out of oil and
> were in a race to find alternatives.  The difference now is that we really
> are in a race to find alternatives.  This is not to say hydrocarbon
> combustion is going away anytime soon, for it isn’t.  But we are getting
> more serious about finding alternatives rather than fighting over the last
> lump of coal.  If you look at all available choices, it will be nuclear.
> We know fusion is back there somewhere, but currently fission is in the
> lead and pulling away.
> >
> > spike
> > _______________________________________________
> But remember, we know how to build fission reactor plants and it still
> takes 10+ years, allowing for time and cost overruns.
> We don't know how to build fusion reactor plants at all. So it will be
> decades until they arrive. One estimate I read said to assume the
> 2050s before a working fusion reactor plant is built and connected to
> the grid.
> BillK
> _______________________________________________
> extropy-chat mailing list
> extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org
> http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat
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