[ExI] i predict chaos

kristina nelason kristinanelason4 at gmail.com
Tue Jan 4 15:36:07 UTC 2022

that's true the specialization made people foolish.

spike jones via extropy-chat <extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> 于2022年1月4日周二

> Over the past 50 years (longer really) society has experienced (or
> perpetrated) a diminished collective skillset in multiple areas.  Good
> examples would be the collective ability to create a meal from raw produce,
> fixing a car or general home repairs.  We have accepted the societal
> interdependence resultant in greater specialization, so that now a far
> greater proportion of society subsists on food processed and packaged in a
> factory, cars don't need much attention anymore, most major appliances are
> replaced as a unit, and we call specialists for most home repairs.
> Almost imperceptibly is the gradual diminishing of society's collective
> ability to follow a series of simple instructions.  I predict this will be
> demonstrated by the local public schools in their distribution of covid
> home tests.
> The instructions are not complicated but there are a series of them.  My
> confident prediction is that a large portion of the general public will be
> unable to do them all correctly, resulting in the most common error being a
> false negative.  Many will not use the test and report negative (which
> counts as a false negative in those who have covid.)  It isn't as clear to
> me how one might get a false positive with these kits, but there you have
> it, my prediction: jillions of these tests distributed, a huge percentage
> of them used incorrectly, the most common result is a false negative.
> spike
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