[ExI] Michio Kaku makes 3 predictions about the future

Rafal Smigrodzki rafal.smigrodzki at gmail.com
Mon Mar 28 08:07:27 UTC 2022


On Sun, Mar 27, 2022 at 10:05 AM <spike at rainier66.com> wrote:

>
>
> Using power directly is relatively efficient I agree, however it has
> disadvantages too.  We will never have electric jet liners for instance,
> and electric cars have their limitations.
>

### You are right but there are few limitations to fully electrifying the
economy. Intercontinental flight and flying to orbit will require fuels but
this is just a small fraction of what we use energy for.
-------------------

> Farm equipment is ill-suited for any power source which needs a long time
> to recharge, for during the short season, harvesters run 24/7.  My farmer
> friends tell me the reason for that is there is no 25/8.
>

### Battery swap is an option for special purposes.

----------------------------

>
>
> On the other hand, given places like the Sahara, we can afford atrocious
> efficiency and still do what we need to do.  That would be the ideal site
> to start making those 30 TWh of storage capacity, which I agree is needed.
> I stand with my prediction that a Sahara energy colony will predate and is
> prerequisite to any significant development on Mars.
>
>
>

### I doubt it. The benefit of having a lot of cheap space and high
insolation is offset by the cost of transmission to places that matter
economically, and by the cost of being located in a chaotic third world
situation.

And just to be clear, I am still in favor of using fossil fuels for as long
as they are cheap enough, because fossil fuels are good for people and good
for the planet.

Rafal
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