[ExI] oh no, not this again...

BillK pharos at gmail.com
Sun Sep 11 15:18:04 UTC 2022

On Sun, 11 Sept 2022 at 03:14, spike jones via extropy-chat
<extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote:
> Hi BillK, well dang.  They just did a fresh update.  Earl has broken up.  It's a failure.  A flimsy excuse for a European watering device.
> There's something else that worries me even more.  You see where Earl is now downgraded to a post-tropical storm remnant, but there is nothing else out there.
> Today was peak season for hurricanes.  In the average year, half of the year’s hurricanes have happened by 10 September.  We had five so far, three storms and two hurricanes, but none of them had any enthusiasm or sincerity.  The accumulated energy is less than half where we should be but now that curve will flatten out for at least 3 to 5 days, when it should be as steep as it will get for the year.
> OK so… what’s it mean?  I fear it will mean a really dry autumn in Europe and probably lousy crop yields.  But something else doesn’t fit: hurricanes are supposed to go way up when sea surface temperatures are warm.  They are at record high temperatures (if you take an average) but these storms fizzled.
> San Diego California didn’t get much of anything out of the storm either.
> I doesn’t understands it.
> spike
> _______________________________________________

Ars Technica has a worry about this also.


They speculate.....
So what has happened this year to cause a quiet season, at least so
far? A detailed analysis will have to wait until after the season, but
to date we've seen a lot of dust in the atmosphere, which has choked
off the formation of storms. Additionally, upper-level winds in the
atmosphere have generally been hostile to storm formation—basically
shearing off the top of any developing tropical systems.

I suspect this is a weather man saying, 'Your guess is as good as mine'.  :)


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