[ExI] A Paranormal Prediction

[William Flynn Wallace]

Sorry - you have confounding here.  Cell phone use and any other variable
you choose to correlate it with are confounded by all the other stuff that
has happened in those years.  Watch for assuming correlation means
causation bias.

On the same note, violent crime is down.  Watch for all the theories to
account for it.  All will be subject to confounding.  bill w

On Sun, Dec 31, 2023 at 10:45 AM Adrian Tymes via extropy-chat <
extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote:

> On Sun, Dec 31, 2023, 8:03 AM Giulio Prisco via extropy-chat <
> extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote:
>
>> On 2023. Dec 31., Sun at 12:13, Ben Zaiboc via extropy-chat <
>> extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote:
>>
>>>
>>> As John K Clark has been banished from this list, and I feel that his
>>> annual paranormal prediction is an important message for all those who
>>> consider themselves to be rational, I'm posting this in his place.
>>
>>
>> If this is your definition of rationality, then I consider myself
>> irrational, and very proudly so.
>> And I look forward to see John’s prediction fail.
>> Well, actually, John’s prediction will not literally fail, because psi
>> breakthroughs will not be published in Nature and Science, which are legacy
>> journals that lick politically correct ass. But they will be published
>> elsewhere.
>>
>
> If there was scientifically rigorous evidence of psi, Nature or Science
> might publish it.  I do recall Science publishing what might be called
> "technopsi" this year - neural tissue fused with silicon to achieve results
> that neural tissue alone could not - though there was nothing supernatural
> about it.  Likewise there have been social and cognitive studies published
> where, if one just voted the results without noting the science of how they
> came to be, some might believe they were psi - but with the curtain pulled
> back, they are not generally called psi.
>
> I foresee this post chain continuing on December 31st, 2024.  Am I
> therefore psychic?
>
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