[ExI] US Democrat Playbook

[Gregory Jones]

I just got a notice those shares of not-bidens have hit 79.  I would sell
those right now if I could.  spike

On Sun, Jul 7, 2024, 1:44 PM Gregory Jones <spike at rainier66.com> wrote:

> I get the feeling that most of the money to be made this cycle is already
> behind us.  If I had sufficient internet bandwidth I might sell my
> remaining not-bidens at 76 cents a share, pocket a nice profit on those
> then wait until this race gets a little less crazy.
>
> spike
>
> On Sun, Jul 7, 2024, 12:25 PM Adrian Tymes via extropy-chat <
> extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote:
>
>> >  Last one I looked at looked pretty good for Gavin Newsome.
>>
>>
>> https://www.ipsos.com/en-us/only-michelle-obama-bests-trump-alternative-biden-2024
>> among others disagree.  At least Harris is starting to shine on her own,
>> but it is unlikely she can be convinced to step up.
>>
>> On Sun, Jul 7, 2024 at 3:30 AM Kelly Anderson via extropy-chat <
>> extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote:
>>
>>> As soon as any politician gets too concrete, they lose people.
>>
>>
>> This in general would seem to be true.
>>
>>
>>> As for whether Biden will in the end be replaced is up to a few
>>> things. First... can they pump enough amphetamines or whatever the
>>> military is using these days to keep pilots alert for 48 hours at a
>>> time into Joe to make him appear cogent in the remaining debates...
>>>
>>
>> I can just about guarantee they won't wind up doing that.  Remember,
>> they're not transhumanists.  Even with such stakes on the line, they don't
>> (rationally) consider such measures.
>>
>>
>>> and Second... can they come up with a viable alternative candidate. As
>>> you say Michelle Obama keeps coming up, and it is not without
>>> precedent to "draft" someone into running, seemingly against their
>>> will.
>>
>>
>> It's not without precedent to want to, even to try to.  But to actually
>> succeed?  The effort to draft Colin Powell was much more organized and
>> persistent than the current calls to replace Biden with some undefined
>> person, to the point that Powell received 3 electoral votes in 2016 against
>> his will.  But without his consent, such efforts could not get him on the
>> ballot or into office.
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>
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