[ExI] Kurzweil shares five key insights from his new book, The Singularity Is Nearer
Keith Henson
hkeithhenson at gmail.com
Fri Jul 12 02:16:13 UTC 2024
On Thu, Jul 11, 2024 at 5:29 PM efc--- via extropy-chat
<extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote:
>
> I don't believe 3 will happen within the time frame. I would be happy to
> be wrong though! =)
If you are signed up for cryonics, you may already bo on Longevity
Escape Velocity
Keith
> On Wed, 10 Jul 2024, Adrian Tymes via extropy-chat wrote:
>
> > #2 falls flat. From the explanation:
> > "AI has already overtaken humans in many ways. You can ask a large language model any question about any subject, and it will give
> > you an intelligent response. Who on earth can do the same?"
> >
> > Most people with access to Google - which is not itself a large language model.
> >
> > That is the only actual evidence offered. #3 and #5 are similarly shaky, though not as direly.
> >
> > On Wed, Jul 10, 2024 at 6:19 PM BillK via extropy-chat <extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote:
> > The article provides the details for each prediction.
> > BillK
> >
> > <https://nextbigideaclub.com/magazine/merging-ai-mean-humanity-according-futurist-ray-kurzweil-bookbite/50146/>
> >
> > Quotes:
> > 1. Information technology is advancing at an exponential rate.
> > 2. Artificial intelligence will reach and immediately soar past
> > human-level intelligence by 2029.
> > 3. We will solve aging in the next five to ten years by applying AI to medicine.
> > 4. AI is about to leap from transforming the digital world to
> > transforming the physical world.
> > 5. By 2045, we will reach the Singularity and expand our intelligence
> > a millionfold.
> > --------------------------------
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