[ExI] Kurzweil shares five key insights from his new book, The Singularity Is Nearer

efc at swisscows.email efc at swisscows.email
Thu Jul 11 20:41:08 UTC 2024


I don't believe 3 will happen within the time frame. I would be happy to 
be wrong though! =)

On Wed, 10 Jul 2024, Adrian Tymes via extropy-chat wrote:

> #2 falls flat.  From the explanation:
> "AI has already overtaken humans in many ways. You can ask a large language model any question about any subject, and it will give
> you an intelligent response. Who on earth can do the same?"
> 
> Most people with access to Google - which is not itself a large language model.
> 
> That is the only actual evidence offered.  #3 and #5 are similarly shaky, though not as direly.
> 
> On Wed, Jul 10, 2024 at 6:19 PM BillK via extropy-chat <extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote:
>       The article provides the details for each prediction.
>       BillK
>
>       <https://nextbigideaclub.com/magazine/merging-ai-mean-humanity-according-futurist-ray-kurzweil-bookbite/50146/>
>
>       Quotes:
>       1. Information technology is advancing at an exponential rate.
>       2. Artificial intelligence will reach and immediately soar past
>           human-level intelligence by 2029.
>       3. We will solve aging in the next five to ten years by applying AI to medicine.
>       4. AI is about to leap from transforming the digital world to
>           transforming the physical world.
>       5. By 2045, we will reach the Singularity and expand our intelligence
>           a millionfold.
>       --------------------------------
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> 
> 
>


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