[ExI] Kurzweil shares five key insights from his new book, The Singularity Is Nearer
efc at swisscows.email
efc at swisscows.email
Thu Jul 11 20:41:08 UTC 2024
I don't believe 3 will happen within the time frame. I would be happy to
be wrong though! =)
On Wed, 10 Jul 2024, Adrian Tymes via extropy-chat wrote:
> #2 falls flat. From the explanation:
> "AI has already overtaken humans in many ways. You can ask a large language model any question about any subject, and it will give
> you an intelligent response. Who on earth can do the same?"
>
> Most people with access to Google - which is not itself a large language model.
>
> That is the only actual evidence offered. #3 and #5 are similarly shaky, though not as direly.
>
> On Wed, Jul 10, 2024 at 6:19 PM BillK via extropy-chat <extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote:
> The article provides the details for each prediction.
> BillK
>
> <https://nextbigideaclub.com/magazine/merging-ai-mean-humanity-according-futurist-ray-kurzweil-bookbite/50146/>
>
> Quotes:
> 1. Information technology is advancing at an exponential rate.
> 2. Artificial intelligence will reach and immediately soar past
> human-level intelligence by 2029.
> 3. We will solve aging in the next five to ten years by applying AI to medicine.
> 4. AI is about to leap from transforming the digital world to
> transforming the physical world.
> 5. By 2045, we will reach the Singularity and expand our intelligence
> a millionfold.
> --------------------------------
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