[ExI] Machines of Loving Grace
Ben Zaiboc
ben at zaiboc.net
Sun Oct 13 09:30:50 UTC 2024
On 12/10/2024 19:41, Keith Henson wrote:
> I strongly suspect that technological progress will stop and we are
> almost at the place where we can see this in our future.
Maybe there is a limit to technological progress, after all there are
physical limits on things such as computation, energy and (as far as we
know) time, but as for how close we are to seeing those limits, I
suspect we are very far off indeed.
Even if human intelligence is near the upper bound of what's possible
for intelligence (something I don't believe at all), the
possibility-space of achievable technology still seems huge. Just
thinking about nanotechnology alone (proper nanotechnology, not just
graphene in tennis racquets), which is probably possible at or near to
our current intellectual level (with the help of AI), the possibilities
are almost endless. How many more technological fields have we just
barely scratched the surface of? How many more beyond that can we
conceive of but can't yet see how to tackle? How many exist but haven't
yet been thought of?
I don't think we need to worry about running out of new technological
developments. We need to worry about our own survival (by which I mean
the survival of intelligence, not just biological humans), that's a
vastly more pressing issue.
Ben
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