[ExI] what if... the singularity isn't near?

[Adrian Tymes]

On Wed, Nov 5, 2025, 7:24 AM <spike at rainier66.com> wrote:

> From every plausible Singularity scenario I can imagine, the event date is
> somewhere in the 2 years to about 40 years future, and will require
> enormous expansion of the power grid.
>
>
>
> Given that, our best source for a prime mover is coal.
>
Solar panels provide full ROI in much less than 40 years. I should know: I
had a system from when it was new through when it ran down.

Anything beyond 10 years, maybe 5, and solar beats out coal on that basis
alone even without environmental impacts. Note that that's the total time
the AI will require power - and it seems at least pretty likely the AI will
require more power through and for years after the Singularity, so it still
will have been better to set up far more solar power generation than coal.

This is aside from how plausible a Singularity taking more than 40 years
seems.
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