[ExI] My prediction

[spike at rainier66.com]

From: extropy-chat <extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org> On Behalf Of John Clark via extropy-chat
Subject: [ExI] My prediction

 

>…I predict that 2025 will be the last normal year that any of us ever see. What do I mean by "normal"?  I can't give a precise definition but four or five years from now when reflecting on the past everybody will agree with me, assuming that four or five years from now there will still be human beings around. 

 

John K Clark    

 

 

Imagine proposing this as a bet on PredictIt or one of the other meme-futures betting sites.  Challenge: think of some set of objective metrics which can be used as payout criteria for 1 Jan 2027.  We need some way to determine that 2025 (and presumably all the years previous) were “normal” but 2026 is not.

 

If we get those, I will be ready to bet 2026 will pay off for those betting “normal” for 2026.  We can even play a non-monetary version of it, here among friends.  The prize will be my everlasting respect, or lasting until I forget, whichever comes first.  My prediction: 2026 will be normal.  2027 will be normal too.  But we need an objective way to determine who wins.

 

Ideas anyone?

 

spike

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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