[ExI] My prediction

[spike at rainier66.com]

> On Behalf Of BillK via extropy-chat



But we need an objective way to determine who wins.
>
> Ideas anyone?
> spike
> _______________________________________________

>…I asked Grok AI - How would we know 2026 was no longer a "normal" year?
Grok produced a lengthy report (available upon request), so I asked Grok to summarize it.
BillK

Grok 4.1 Expert -
>…Here's a concise summary of the analysis on AI developments in 2026 that could render 2025 as the last "normal" year, where human-centric norms in work, society, and daily life prevail before pervasive AI integration:

- **Autonomous AI Agents**: Systems that independently plan and execute complex tasks across industries…

>…These advancements, if converged, could irreversibly transform society, making AI an autonomous force rather than a mere tool, with modest economic growth masking profound disruptions.

------------------------------

 

 

Ja, that is getting close, but what I still don’t see is an objective way to measure whether these advances occurred in 2026 but did not occur prior to yesterday.  The meme betting market has trained me to think of how memes can be adjudicated where everyone will agree on who gets paid.  The wording of the meme is critically important.  No vague terms.  Everything must be carefully defined.

 

BillK, do query Grok 4.1 pls, as you appear to be our resident expert in how to get useful answers out of AI, a skill which I suck.  I am getting better.

 

spike

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