[ExI] My prediction

[spike at rainier66.com]

>… On Behalf Of Adrian Tymes via extropy-chat
Cc: Adrian Tymes <atymes at gmail.com>
Subject: Re: [ExI] My prediction

 

On Fri, Jan 2, 2026, 3:46 PM John Clark via extropy-chat <extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org <mailto:extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> > wrote:

On Fri, Jan 2, 2026 at 3:29 PM <spike at rainier66.com <mailto:spike at rainier66.com> > wrote:

 > we need an objective way to determine who wins. Ideas anyone?

 

>>…Yes, on January 1, 2031 we ask everybody on the list (provided anybody is still around) if they think my prediction that 2025 was the last normal year turned out to be a good one. 

 

>…So, any money bet on this would be locked up for about 5 years?  Thanks, but I've got better ROI prospects.

 

 

 

Ja.  Even my everlasting respect suffers currency devaluation: I would have five fewer years to everlastingly respect John Clark.  If I win, he has five fewer years to everlastingly respect me.  We are both would have five fewer years to remember what we were everlastingly respecting each other for.

 

We need some objective metric which will allow us to adjudicate a winner on 1 Jan 2027.

 

spike

 

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