[ExI] My prediction

[spike at rainier66.com]

….> On Behalf Of BillK via extropy-chat
Subject: Re: [ExI] My prediction

 

On Fri, 2 Jan 2026 at 23:18, <spike at rainier66.com <mailto:spike at rainier66.com> > wrote:

Ja, that is getting close, but what I still don’t see is an objective way to measure whether these advances occurred in 2026 but did not occur prior to yesterday.  …

BillK, do query Grok 4.1 pls, as you appear to be our resident expert in how to get useful answers out of AI, a skill which I suck.  I am getting better.

spike

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>…That sounds like you want the full report. not just the summary.  :)

OK, I'll add it below….



>…These developments aren't guaranteed—predictions emphasize evaluation over evangelism, with no full AGI expected—but their convergence could create a tipping point. Economic impacts might remain modest initially (e.g., no explosive GDP growth…

 

 

 

 

Cool thx BillK.  You might have uncovered the flaw in the whole idea: regardless of how weird 2026 is, some things just won’t change at all.  For us, things change nearly every day, because we read SlashDot and such.  But for the people far away from the accelerating technology world, such as sub-Saharan Africa and Lincoln County West Virginia, this year and next year will be a lot like this one.

 

spike

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