[ExI] My prediction

[John Clark]

On Sun, Jan 4, 2026 at 11:57 AM <spike at rainier66.com> wrote:


> *> Here is an example of wording in PredictIt, regarding a constitution
> referendum in Bangladesh:*
> *This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that, in a referendum
> election held by the end of February 2026, voters in Bangladesh approve a
> ballot initiative with the effect of amending the Constitution of
> Bangladesh.If no such referendum election is held by the end of February of
> 2026, this market shall resolve to No. **PredictIt’s decisions and
> determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and
> shall be final.*


*Suppose instead it had been about who will win the 2020
presidential election in the US. Would the bet have been resolved by
January 7, 2021? The US Constitution says yes but He Who Must Not Be Named
and his gang of MAGA worshipers said no, and they have continued to say no
to this very day. *

*John K Clark *
-------------- next part --------------
An HTML attachment was scrubbed...
URL: <http://lists.extropy.org/pipermail/extropy-chat/attachments/20260105/baebe651/attachment.htm>