[ExI] My prediction

[spike at rainier66.com]

From: John Clark <johnkclark at gmail.com> 
Sent: Monday, 5 January, 2026 2:41 AM
To: spike at rainier66.com
Cc: ExI chat list <extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org>
Subject: Re: [ExI] My prediction

 

On Sun, Jan 4, 2026 at 11:57 AM <spike at rainier66.com <mailto:spike at rainier66.com> > wrote:

 

> Here is an example of wording in PredictIt, regarding a constitution referendum in Bangladesh:
 
>>…This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that, in a referendum election held by the end of February 2026, voters in Bangladesh approve a ballot initiative with the effect of amending the Constitution of Bangladesh.If no such referendum election is held by the end of February of 2026, this market shall resolve to No. PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.

 

>…Suppose instead it had been about who will win the 2020 presidential election in the US. Would the bet have been resolved by January 7, 2021? The US Constitution says yes but He Who Must Not Be Named and his gang of MAGA worshipers said no, and they have continued to say no to this very day. 

 

John K Clark

 

 

 

 

 

That makes my point exactly.  The constitutionalists are the ones who get paid.

 

spike

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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