[ExI] My prediction

[spike at rainier66.com]

From: John Clark <johnkclark at gmail.com> 
Sent: Monday, 5 January, 2026 2:56 AM
To: spike at rainier66.com
Cc: ExI chat list <extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org>
Subject: Re: [ExI] My prediction

 

On Mon, Jan 5, 2026 at 5:43 AM <spike at rainier66.com <mailto:spike at rainier66.com> > wrote:

 

>>…Suppose instead it had been about who will win the 2020 presidential election in the US. Would the bet have been resolved by January 7, 2021? The US Constitution says yes but He Who Must Not Be Named and his gang of MAGA worshipers said no, and they have continued to say no to this very day. 

 

> That makes my point exactly.  The constitutionalists are the ones who get paid.

 

>…I don't understand your point…

John K Clark

 

The people who bet on Joe Biden in 2020 were paid on 8 Nov 2020.  There were no disputes.  The only election betting which was delayed was in 2000, where it took a few weeks to determine who won that one.  The wording of a bet is very important.  It must be worded to be completely unambiguous and objective.

 

I can confidently conjecture that 2025 will not be the last normal year, if I get to arbitrarily choose any criterion I want and show 2026 is like the previous years.

 

spike

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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