[ExI] My prediction

[John Clark]

On Tue, Jan 6, 2026 at 12:53 AM <spike at rainier66.com> wrote:

*> Any argument that suggests any two party system is forever stuck in a
> two party system leads to self-referencing paradox.*


*Most democratic countries in the world have viable third or even fourth
parties, but the US never has and that's because the US is the only country
in the world that has an idiotic system like the electoral college. And
also because in most countries in elections for legislators if a political
party gets 15% of the votes then they get about 15% of the legislators, but
in the US they'd get 0%. So in most countries even small parties can win
representation and have real influence, but not in the US. *

*> >…Half of the people with a libertarian bent who would've voted for the
>> mainstream candidate who had a modest libertarian inclination and a
>> realistic possibility of actually winning, instead voted for the
>> Libertarian Party candidate who never had a realistic chance of winning
>> even one electoral vote. And thus, thanks to the Libertarian Party, the
>> extremely anti-libertarian dictator wannabe guy became the most powerful
>> man in the world.  And that is unforgivable*
>
>
>
*> But if half the people with a libertarian bent reject your line of
> reasoning, then the Libertarian Party candidate has a realistic chance of
> winning,*
>

*That's not the way the world works, or at least not in the US. No
Libertarian Party presidential candidate has EVER had a realistic chance of
winning, none has even come close to winning one single electoral vote, and
they'd need 270 to win the presidency. However in a close election (and
that's the only sort the US seems to have anymore) the Libertarian Party
can still have influence over who wins, but unfortunately it's in exactly
the opposite direction that they would like. If the Libertarian Party had
never existed then today the US would have more libertarian policies than
it does. Call me crazy but I think libertarian policies are more important
than the Libertarian Party.  *

*John K Clark*
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