[ExI] that ai video

[Jason Resch]

On Wed, Jan 21, 2026, 11:26 AM John Clark via extropy-chat <
extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote:

> On Wed, Jan 21, 2026 at 8:18 AM spike jones via extropy-chat <
> extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote:
>
> *> All of my AI predictions have been wrong: we got there on all of it
>> before I expected it.*
>
>
> *A lot of people over-estimated the difficulty of achieving AI because
> they looked at the incredible complexity of biology and all the wheels
> within wheels and figured we'd have to understand how all that worked
> first. But we know that all the complexity can be drastically reduced. The
> human genome only has 3 billion base pairs. There are 4 bases, so each base
> can represent 2 bits, there are 8 bits per byte, so that's just 750 Meg.
> And that's for an entire human being, not just a brain. And even that 750
> Meg figure is way too high. Studies have shown that only about 5% of our
> genome is preserved over deep time indicating that evolution just doesn't
> care about the other 95% because it's parasitic, it neither helps nor harms
> survival, it just goes along for the ride throughout the generations. *
>
> *MosMost of our genome really is Junk*
> <https://www.newscientist.com/article/2508876-human-plant-hybrid-cells-reveal-truth-about-dark-dna-in-our-genome/>
>
> *> all such predictions should come with a timeline to arrival, a specific
>> date, along with specific carefully worded, unambiguous objective criteria
>> for judging true or false.*
>
>
> *How about when will somebody be able to order an AI to do this? "Write,
> produce and direct a new 2 or 3 hour completely original Harry Potter
> movie, use no Human actors but make it look as if you did, write the
> screenplay and compose the music. Have it set in the familiar Harry Potter
> world but the plot be original and, although compatible with, not be based
> on any of the books. Have the four main characters be a 12 year old Harry,
> Ron and Hermione, but also an adult Tony Soprano. Use no humans to help you
> in making any part of the movie.  **And make it so that **at least 1000
> human beings decide to watch it either because of word of mouth
> recommendation or because of pure chance, and at least 80% of them say the
> movie should be rated R, and it looks like it was** directed by Quentin
> Tarantino, and judge the film to be either good or excellent". *
>
> *Just a thousand people may seem like an absurdly small number to see a
> major motion picture, but when AIs get that good and excellent movies
> become very common, the competition for viewing hours might get so intense
> that a thousand people seeing any one particular movie might be unusual,
> most movies, however good they may be, might be viewed by nobody except for
> the person who gave the order to make it. One obvious prediction I think
> anybody can make right now, the era of superstar actors receiving
> astronomically huge paychecks has already reached its peak. *
>
> *John K Clark  *
>

Play this out one step further and all movies are seen only by one subject,
all content consumed is perfectly crafted to be ideally suited to the
person seeing it, what they have already seen, how they are feeling, what
they believe, what they know, what they like, etc.

Netflix, Disney, Paramount, HBO, etc. all get replaced with an AI box that
plugs into your TV and generates exactly what you want to see.

Jason




>
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