[ExI] Syngas was Re: Sell your Bitcoins!

[spike at rainier66.com]

On 2026-06-05 15:41, Keith Henson wrote:
...

> 
> In the long run, cars are going to have to be electric.
> 
> Other uses for oil are hard to substitute, but we will have to do it 
> somehow.

I am pretty sure the long run will be completely irrelevant.  Ray Kurzweil's prediction of singularity by 2029 appears to be pretty accurate.

But consider back in about 2002 when Eliezer was doing Singularity conferences.  He and others mapped out singularity scenarios.  We have already seen the super-hard takeoff scenario disproven: in that one, the singularity just happens, with very little advance notice, no one expecting it, like the Spanish Inquisition.  We see plenty of preliminary developments showing us what is coming.

Now it appears to be a race to generate enough power to make it happen.  I don't recall that scenario anywhere in Elizer's models, or anyone else's.  Anyone?

spike