[ExI] Syngas was Re: Sell your Bitcoins!

BillK pharos at gmail.com
Sat Jun 6 09:32:16 UTC 2026


On Sat, 6 Jun 2026 at 02:04, spike jones via extropy-chat
<extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote:
> I am pretty sure the long run will be completely irrelevant.  Ray Kurzweil's prediction of singularity by 2029 appears to be pretty accurate.
>
> But consider back in about 2002 when Eliezer was doing Singularity conferences.  He and others mapped out singularity scenarios.  We have already seen the super-hard takeoff scenario disproven: in that one, the singularity just happens, with very little advance notice, no one expecting it, like the Spanish Inquisition.  We see plenty of preliminary developments showing us what is coming.
>
> Now it appears to be a race to generate enough power to make it happen.  I don't recall that scenario anywhere in Elizer's models, or anyone else's.  Anyone?
>
> spike
> _______________________________________________


You're right. Nobody predicted the huge increase in electric power demand.
Back then, Moore's law was rapidly increasing the power of computers
and predictions were more concerned with how AI would develop.
Nobody thought about what would happen when everyone in the world
started to chat to AIs and the power that would be required for AI inference
processing.
As AI takes over more and more business processes, our whole
civilization will become dependent on the AI data centres.

BillK



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