[ExI] Google Just Achieved Mathematical AGI

[John Clark]

On Tue, Mar 3, 2026 at 9:13 AM <spike at rainier66.com> wrote:

*> We might be stuck with defining the singularity as a year when a billion
> humans perish.*


*I think it is extremely unlikely there will ever be a year in which 1
billion humans die, but there might be a year in which all 8.2 billion
humans die, however for betting purposes that would not be a singularity
definition that would be very useful, the reason being rather obvious. *

*John K Clark*





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> *From:* John Clark <johnkclark at gmail.com>
> *….*
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> *>>… **How can we objectively define when the singularity occurred?*
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> *>…When predictions consistently prove to be wrong is the normal
> definition of a singularity. Back in January I predicted that 2025 would be
> the last normal year ... so now it looks like my prediction is on track for
> being proven correct... so my prediction was proven to be wrong... so my
> prediction was right ... so I'm very confused.... so I guess the
> Singularity is happening.   *
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> *John K Clark*
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> *But 2025 was not a normal year.  By that reasoning the singularity
> already happened.  But it is difficult to define objectively when it
> happened.  We might be stuck with something like defining the singularity
> by some percentage of biological humans perishing, some five sigma number,
> ten times the average mortality for instance.  If I were to estimate an
> average mortality, there are about 8 billion humans and we live about 80
> years on the average, so about a hundred million proles perish every year
> to maintain those numbers, ja?  We might be stuck with defining the
> singularity as a year when a billion humans perish.*
>
> *Wow that’s dark.  Suggestions please?*
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> *spike*
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