[ExI] A sad day for the US Weather Bureau

[spike at rainier66.com]

…> On Behalf Of Keith Henson via extropy-chat
…
Subject: Re: [ExI] A sad day for the US Weather Bureau

 

>…John, I largely agree with your assessment of the state of AIs.

 

>…But I somewhat wonder if they are hitting the limits of knowledge? They know virtually everything humans know, but they simply cannot know beyond that. Any thoughts on where this will go?

 

Best wishes,


Keith

 

 

Keith that is a good question.  It forms a major division in the kingdom level of my proposed taxonomy of the future, for the outcomes of the two branches are far different.

 

If AI hits the limits of human knowledge, then a plausible outcome is John’s unimaginable wealth scenario, where humanity reaches a new equilibrium but everyone has a way better life than before.

 

If AI keeps moving and figures out how to recursively self-improve, then the plausible outcomes are that it solves all our problems or that it kills everybody.

 

We don’t know what is going to happen next.  

 

spike

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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