[Paleopsych] Fallujah video comment

Werbos, Dr. Paul J. paul.werbos at verizon.net
Sat Nov 20 21:47:25 UTC 2004

At 08:53 AM 11/20/2004 -0700, Lynn D. Johnson, Ph.D. wrote:
>The Left has been whining about 'quagmire' since Afghanistan. It is 
>foolish. The Arab street will follow success, and we are clearly not in a 
>quagmire. Fallujah is a remarkable success, and more such successes will 
>follow as the Iraqi National Guard - especially the officer corps - gains 
>experience and dedication.

How do we know?

One can construct scenarios either way.

We can declare that belief in a "good" scenario is better than
belief in a "bad" scenario.

We can even fire everyone who believes in "bad" scenarios.

But how do we know which is true?

I certainly wouldn't have blind faith in PR pieces from either side.

There are times when the way of progress and the ways of faith
are mutually orthogonal directions. (And when the ways of faith
are 180 degrees off from each other.)

>Iraq is to the war in terror as Italy was to WW II. It was of questionable 
>importance, and arguably could have been leap-frogged. In terms of 
>long-term victory in WW IV (which we are now in, having won WW III, thanks 
>to Reagan and Gorbachev) we must achieve some form of liberal democracy in 
>both Afghanistan and Iraq. Just as the communists achieved a certain 
>domino effect following our withdrawal from Viet Nam, so liberal democracy 
>can create a domino effect in the benighted middle east. Their socialist 
>governments are the worst on the planet, and the Arab street will gladly 
>forgive us when they see prosperity and freedom developing. Iran will fall 
>to the youth (who are now passively resisting the Mullahs) and follow.
>see: http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A61117-2004Nov18.html
>Steve Hovland wrote:
>>Absolutely true from our point of view.
>>Makes absolutely no difference on the Arab street.
>>It defines "quagmire."
>>Steve Hovland
>paleopsych mailing list
>paleopsych at paleopsych.org

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