[Paleopsych] Passage from "Fantastic Voyage"
Steve Hovland
shovland at mindspring.com
Sat Mar 12 01:23:42 UTC 2005
Do we have the knowledge and the tools today to live forever? If all
science and technology development suddenly stopped, the answer would have
to be no. We do have the means to dramatically slow disease and the aging
process far more than most people realize, but we do not yet have all the
techniques we need to indefinitely extend human life. However, it is clear
that far from halting, the pace of scientific and technological discovery
is accelerating.
According to models that Ray has created, our paradigm-shift rate-the rate
of technical progress-is doubling every decade, and the capability (price
performance, capacity, and speed) of specific information technologies is
doubling every year. So the answer to our question is actually a
definitive yes-the knowledge exists, if aggressively applied, for you to
slow aging and disease processes to such a degree that you can be in good
health and good spirits when the more radical life-extending and
life-enhancing technologies become available over the next couple of
decades.
Longevity expert and gerontologist Aubrey de Grey uses the metaphor of
maintaining a house to explain this key concept. How long does a house
last? The answer obviously depends on how well you take care of it. If you
do nothing, the roof will spring a leak before long, water and the elements
will invade, and eventually the house will disintegrate. But if you
proactively take care of the structure, repair all damage, confront all
dangers, and rebuild or renovate parts from time to time using new
materials and technologies, the life of the house can essentially be
extended without limit.
The same holds true for our bodies and brains. The only difference is that
while we fully understand the methods underlying the maintenance of a
house, we do not yet fully understand all of the biological principles of
life. But with our rapidly increasing comprehension of the human genome,
the proteins expressed by the genome (proteome), and the biochemical
processes and pathways of our metabolism, we are quickly gaining that
knowledge. We are beginning to understand aging, not as a single inexorable
progression but as a group of related biological processes.
Strategies for reversing each of these aging progressions using different
combinations of biotechnology techniques are emerging. Many scientists,
including the authors of this book, believe that we will have the means to
stop and even reverse aging within the next two decades. In the meantime,
we can slow each aging process to a crawl using the methods outlined in
this book.
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