[extropy-chat] Fwd: Mandatory draft for your child?

[Walter_Chen at compal.com]

Should we use a better formula (maybe Bayesian inference) to estimate the
probability of a US parent having 
(at least) one child serving in Iraq?
An easier and more accurate estimate is counting first how many parents we
have in US.
I guess there should be less than 290 million divided by 4 (assume the
average family members are 4).
Then Congress is roughly the same as 'its fair share'.
(Note: I have no special preference to M. Moore.)

Thanks.
 
Walter.
---------

-----Original Message-----
From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org
[mailto:extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org] On Behalf Of Mike Lorrey
Sent: Monday, October 11, 2004 2:32 AM
To: ExI chat list
Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Fwd: Mandatory draft for your child?



--- Olga Bourlin <fauxever at sprynet.com> wrote: 
> > Fox, meet henhouse....
> 
> Henhouse, meet fox ...
> 
> "...of 535 members of Congress, only one has a child serving with the
> military in Iraq.":
> 
> http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/opinion/2002058054_pitts10.html
> 
Since my original post on the bbs apparently isn't copying to the
list...

It is rather telling, Olga, when a newspaper uses Michael Moore as a
'reliable source'. According to this article:
http://www.signonsandiego.com/news/military/20040913-9999-1m13duncan.html

There are as many as eight members of Congress with children who have
served, are serving, or are on their way to, Iraq, including Joe Biden,
D-NJ. One has three kids in the military, and another has a child on
active duty and another at the Naval Academy.

While this is still less than 2% of the entire congress, it is above
average for the general population, where the US population is
currently 290 million and the entire US military is 1.336 million, less
than 1/2 of 1% are currently serving in the military in some capacity.
As there are now 120,000 US military personnel in Iraq, the per capita
military people in Iraq is 0.0005. Even if only one member of congress
had a child serving in Iraq, that would still be 0.0020, or four times
greater than the US population's per capita committment as a whole.
This analysis shows why agitprop radicals like Michael Moore are such
lying bastards. Congress is doing more than 'its fair share'.

It is also rather telling that you believe a newspaper that uses a
nasty, lying SOB like Michael Moore as a reliable source. 

=====
Mike Lorrey
Vice-Chair, 2nd District, Libertarian Party of NH
"Necessity is the plea for every infringement of human freedom.
It is the argument of tyrants; it is the creed of slaves."
                                      -William Pitt (1759-1806) 
Blog: http://www.xanga.com/home.aspx?user=Sadomikeyism


		
__________________________________
Do you Yahoo!?
Y! Messenger - Communicate in real time. Download now. 
http://messenger.yahoo.com
_______________________________________________
extropy-chat mailing list
extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org
http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat
-------------- next part --------------
An HTML attachment was scrubbed...
URL: <http://lists.extropy.org/pipermail/extropy-chat/attachments/20041011/8a433f9b/attachment.html>