[extropy-chat] Futures Past
dirk.bruere at gmail.com
Mon Oct 10 00:11:16 UTC 2005
On 10/9/05, Russell Wallace <russell.wallace at gmail.com> wrote:
> On 10/9/05, Eliezer S. Yudkowsky <sentience at pobox.com> wrote:
> > Greg Burch wrote:
> > > What do you take away from looking back on looking forward?
> > I'm hopeful that I'll have more time in which to work before one of the
> > deadlines strikes. But not too hopeful.
> Whereas I think my deadline for getting things done will more likely be my
> death from old age (I'm 35 now) than the Singularity. So which of us is the
> optimist and which the pessimist? :)
Well, I'm 52 now and me and some friends did a similar kind of predictive
thing with the Singularity (only it wasn't called that) in the early 80s.
The earliest date we placed at around 2010, with the latest about 2050 and
the most likely 2030. I'll still stick with that evaluation. Which is not
bad considering more than 20yrs have passed already.
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